Decision Sprint method

How we pressure-test the science case—and what we will not pretend to know.

You get an inspectable, source-linked map of what must be true for the deal: what holds against published evidence, what conflicts, and what is still unknown. Tempus is a major precision-medicine company that uses biomedical data and knowledge graphs to pressure-test drug-development hypotheses for industry. BioticaBio does the parallel job for investors—graph-backed claim testing plus a human synthesis your partners can inspect. You do not get certainty, a standing diligence function, or a substitute for specialist counsel.

Four steps

Step 1

Decompose

Convert the pitch into the claims that must be true for the deal to work. Rank them by decision importance. Drop claims that do not change the check.

Step 2

Check the evidence

Test each material claim against published literature, trials, targets, labels, patents, and known failure modes—looking for support and contradiction, not confirmation bias.

Step 3

Integrate

Connect technical findings to timeline, capital, and financing consequences. Domain findings become investment implications your partners can use.

Step 4

Decide

State what holds, what conflicts, and what evidence would change the view. Deliver a brief, memo, and partner briefing with sources attached.

What the evidence graph contributes

  • Published literature and trial precedents for the modality and indication
  • Target, mechanism, and competitive-class context
  • Regulatory labels and public failure modes that inform the thesis
  • Patent and prior-art signals as diligence context—not legal opinions

Evidence rubric

  • Support: observation that strengthens the claim, with limitation noted.
  • Contradiction: conflicting evidence or failed analogue, with comparability note.
  • Missing: what could not be established and why it matters to the decision.
  • Implication: scientific, time/capital, question, and decision trigger.

Inference policy

Inference is allowed when labeled. Material conclusions link to a source, a calculation, or an explicit inference. Unknown is an answer.

Quality controls

A senior human reviewer owns final synthesis. The graph informs and stresses the thesis; it does not write the investment conclusion. Unreviewed domains are listed.

Scoped-domain policy

Domains outside the signed scope are unreviewed. The sprint can be fast or deep. It cannot honestly be both.

Why lean teams use this instead of a network diligence menu

Network firms sell matched expertise and broad coverage. We sell a claim test against the biomedical evidence graph: decompose the thesis, seek support and contradiction, label missing evidence, and turn each material finding into a decision trigger—sized to one live deal.

Worked examples live in the decision catalogue.

  • Claim map over checklist coverage
  • Graph-backed support and contradiction on the page
  • Decision triggers instead of synthetic PoS scores
  • Unreviewed domains listed as a trust feature

What this is not

BioticaBio does not provide legal opinions, regulatory sign-off, FTO, valuation models, patient-level reanalysis, or investment recommendations. BioticaBio is not affiliated with Tempus and is not a clinical real-world-evidence platform. We do not use “de-risked,” “probability of success,” or “institutional-grade” unless scope and controls justify the words.