Decision catalogueMethod

Claim maps beat generic diligence checklists for seed decisions

Decision problem

How should a lean team pressure-test science under a 5–20 day deal deadline?

Thesis

For lean funds, the scarce resource is decision clarity under a clock — not encyclopedic coverage.

Broad domain checklists are valuable in full transactions. They are the wrong default for a seed or Series A team with a 5–20 day decision window and an incomplete internal bench.

The review starts from the investment thesis: what must be true for the check to make sense, what evidence would falsify it, and which domains remain explicitly unreviewed. Unknown is an allowed, useful output — not a failure mode to hide.

The Decision Sprint artifact is a claim-evidence matrix, risk register, management questions, and partner briefing sized to one live decision. Completeness theater produces memos buyers either distrust or over-read.

Claim map

Must-be-true cuts a Decision Sprint memo would force

  • Must-be-true claims are derived from the investment thesis, not a generic checklist
  • Each material claim has support, contradiction, absence, or comparator evidence labeled
  • Unreviewed domains are listed so partners do not over-read the memo

Decision triggers

Outputs from the claim test that should change the conversation

  • Checklist coverage substituted for claim-level falsifiability
  • Missing evidence treated as neutral rather than material unknown
  • Memo implying completeness the clock and scope cannot support

Sources

Related in the catalogue

Facing this cut on a live $1–10M package?

Scope a Decision Sprint for one opportunity under your deal deadline—claim map, risk register, management questions, and partner briefing.