The method

How we test the claims behind a deal

You already know what a KOL call or specialist consult feels like. We run a structured version of that work: make the investment claims explicit, test them against independent evidence, and return a memo partners can inspect — claim by claim.

In plain terms

A structured test, not a narrative

A generic report tells a story. We test a small set of claims and show where the evidence supports the story — and where it does not.

Every engagement starts from an investment question: what must be true for this fund to proceed? That thesis is broken into discrete, falsifiable claims a Partner can argue about in IC.

For each claim we collect supporting and contradicting evidence, grade confidence, and name the gaps. The method behind that workflow is hypothesis-driven diligence testing — useful jargon after the idea is clear, not before.

Most lean funds already expense external science help from the management company or deal OpEx — KOL conversations, IP screens, ad-hoc scientific review. BioticaBio is that line item with a structured method and a written, citation-backed deliverable.

Process

Five steps from deal question to IC artifact

  1. 01

    Start from the investment question

    What must be true for this fund to proceed? That becomes the thesis under test.

  2. 02

    Break it into falsifiable claims

    Biology, translation, comparators, CMC, financeability — only the claims that change the decision.

  3. 03

    Gather evidence for and against

    Public literature and registries first; supervised dataroom material when available. We search for the counter-case on purpose.

  4. 04

    Score each claim

    Strong / moderate / weak / contradicted / unresolved — so partners see where the story holds and where it does not.

  5. 05

    Return a decision-ready memo

    Executive read, hypothesis table, contradictions, and the questions to press next. Optional: publish the reviewed conclusion as a durable authority page.

Coverage

What a full read can cover

A Snapshot focuses on the claims that change this decision. A fuller engagement can span the dimensions below.
01

Biology feasibility

Is the underlying mechanism biologically plausible?

Assess whether the proposed mechanism is consistent with established biology and what would have to hold for it to work in the target context.

02

Translational maturity

How far is the science from a decision-relevant milestone?

Evaluate model relevance, reproducibility signals, and the distance between current data and clinically or commercially meaningful readouts.

03

Comparator and failure-mode analysis

What happened to programs that came before?

Map related companies, platforms, and indications, and characterize the failure modes that a new program must avoid or explain.

04

Financeability and next-investor fit

Is there a credible next financing and a rational next investor?

Review financing history in the category, milestone realism, and whether the story fits the mandate of a plausible next investor.

05

Regulatory and clinical path realism

Is the proposed path to approval realistic?

Consider predicate paths, likely regulatory expectations, and the clinical plan against the maturity of the underlying evidence.

06

Authority asset readiness

Can the evidence be published as a durable, citable asset?

Determine whether conclusions are source-linked, uncertainty-aware, and structured enough to become a machine-readable authority page.

Evidence grading

How each claim is scored

Every claim receives one of five confidence grades based on quality, consistency, and direction of the evidence.
Strong
Multiple independent, consistent sources support the claim.
Moderate
Reasonable support, but with gaps or limited replication.
Weak
Thin or preliminary evidence; claim is under-supported.
Contradicted
Credible evidence points against the claim.
Unresolved
Evidence is absent or too mixed to score.

Budget fit

Priced like diligence consulting

Most lean funds already expense external science help from the management company or deal OpEx — KOL conversations, IP screens, ad-hoc scientific review. BioticaBio is that line item with a structured method and a written, citation-backed deliverable.

Entry claim screen

Entry claim screens start in the low thousands when you need a narrow read fast. Use it when you need a narrow, fast read before spending partner time.

IC / syndicate Snapshot

A full diligence Snapshot for IC / syndicate close typically sits in the mid–high four to low five figures — in band with specialist scientific DD packages funds already buy.

What this is not

Not a software seat, not an SEO retainer, and not a replacement for legal, regulatory counsel, or your IC judgment. It structures the evidence so judgment is easier.

See the method on a real opportunity.

Walk through an anonymized worked example, or scope a read on your next deal.